Archive for category: New Hampshire

A wicked cold shot is heading for the Eastern United States in the next couple of weeks. Southern New England will not bear the brunt of it, but it will very likely be colder than normal most of the time from Thursday through Thanksgiving.

The first storm system that will make a run at New England when the cold air is in place will likely be weak enough and pass far enough out to sea to only bring a few showers on Friday. After that, it will be a mainly dry weekend before another system threatens with mainly rain late in the weekend or early next week.

Looking further down the road, it appears there may be multiple chances at wintry weather between late next week and Thanksgiving. The overall pattern looks more like mid-January than mid-November for the next 10-14 days. Of course, the ocean temperature is still in the low 50s, so that plays a big role in precipitation type with any storms heading our way. It should be an active stretch for the next couple of weeks…and possibly longer.

It looks like a pretty active pattern to start the month of November. There will be a few quiet days between storms before another soaker arrives Thursday and lasts into early Friday. There is the potential for an inch of rain. The weather will cool over the weekend, with dry weather from Friday afternoon through, at least, early Sunday. Another system may bring rain late in the weekend and early next week. After that, it looks like it will get chilly in the middle of next week.

The pattern favors more active weather through the middle of the month. Most or all of the time, Southeastern New England looks to be on the mild (rainy) side of the storms. The active pattern will most likely pull the area out of a moderate drought.

The buzz has already started about an early season snowstorm in part of the Northeast this weekend. While it’s not impossible, the odds favor a cold shot, with some flakes, but not a blockbuster snowstorm. Before that happens, the relatively mild weather will continue through the workweek until Friday when it falls to seasonable levels. The trick or treat outlook is not super, but it’s not too frightening, either. The temperature will be falling from the 50s into the 40s during the evening. At least it will be dry.

Saturday will become showery and raw, and there is a chance that rain changes to snow Saturday night as a storm develops offshore and cold air is wrapped into the storm. Right now, it looks like there could be enough snow for a dusting to 1″, but it’s tough to say if it will stick because the ground is not frozen, and it will be wet from rain during the day. Of course, if there’s more precipitation than now forecast because of a stronger and slower-moving storm, then the odds of accumulating snow increase. It’s all speculation at this point, and really not worth writing or saying too much about because of the uncertainty with the forecast 5-6 days from now.

in any event, Sunday will be blustery and cold. Highs will only be in the low to mid 40s, and wind chills will be 10-15° colder than the air temperature. It looks dry, and clear skies Sunday night may lead to a widespread frost/freeze scenario that ends the growing season for the part of SNE where it continues.

The cold shot will not last for long, and there should be a decent warm-up next week. In fact, there is not a heck of a lot of very cool weather in the forecast for the first 10 days of November (after this weekend). Mid to late workweek showers are possible next week, but it does not look like a soaking system. Overall, after a rough start, the first half of November looks relatively benign.

An unsettled weather pattern this week will likely be followed by an extended stretch of mainly dry weather from this weekend through most or all of next workweek. There is a slight chance of a cool shot late in the weekend, but that will likely stay north of Southeastern New England, and the temperature will be at or above normal next week. There is a decent chance that the month will end without the temperature getting below 34° at TF Green Airport. That has not happened in October since 2010.

Looking ahead to early November, we will have to keep an eye on any action developing along the Eastern Seaboard. Fast-developing coastal systems are not uncommon in mid-fall with warm water off the coast. Regardless of whether a sizable storm develops, it looks like the jet stream will be active in bringing low pressure systems from west to east across the US. It will likely not be as dry in the first week of November as it looks like it will be next week.

It looks like a slow-moving weather pattern will continue for the rest of October. Unfortunately, that could mean an extended period of wet and cool weather from the middle to end of next workweek. The models are coming together on a cut-off storm that sits and spins off the New England coast for a few days. If the storm is near Nantucket, then you can bank on wet, breezy, and raw weather in Southeastern New England. Right now, it looks like the main threat is from late Tuesday through Friday.

After the storm drifts out to sea, we should get into several days of dry weather. It does not look like there are any huge cold shots in the forecast except for a quick chilly blast on Sunday into Monday that will keep the daytime temperature in the low to mid 50s, and it will fall into the 30s to low 40s at night. The breeze will stay active, so a frost may not occur near the coast and cities. The pattern for the last week of October is leaning toward warmer than normal weather. See the video for more details.