Long-Range Forecast – June 26

/0 Comments/in , /by

It looks like another unsettled weekend in Southeastern New England. Rain may be heavy at times late Saturday night into Sunday morning. After a dry stretch in the spring, the weather has been wetter than normal since the end of May. So, after a soggy June, what is ahead for early July, including the 4th of July weekend?

The overall weather pattern still looks a bit unsettled to me in early July. A cold front moving through New England in the midweek could bring scattered showers/storms Tuesday night and/or Wednesday. It will be warmer early in the week compared to this weekend. Highs inland should reach the 80s Mon-Wed. There will be a storm scooting out to sea south of New England late next workweek. Right now, it looks like a near-miss, but, in this pattern it bears watching.

The early, early outlook for July 3-4 is for dry weather. It will likely not be very hot, with the high pressure coming from Canada, and winds that will be light and onshore. If this works out, it will be a pleasant holiday. However, as you’ll note from the pictures below, this pattern will keep an active storm track in the Eastern United States. So, keep an eye on the forecast next week.

2015-06-26-Headlines

Looking ahead to July, the temperature may be near to above normal in Southern New England, but there will probably not be much searing heat. We’ll also continue watching for more moisture-infused storms along the Northeast coast. Thankfully, the dry weather this spring did not continue into the summer, but it would be nice if we get some nice weekends soon!

Long-Range Forecast – June 22

/0 Comments/in , /by

With a high temperature of 87°, Monday was the warmest day of the month in the Providence area. It will likely be the warmest day of the week. A strong cold front may trigger thunderstorms on Tuesday. The weather looks seasonable in the middle of the week. Looking ahead to Friday and the weekend, a couple of disturbances could bring showers. The first one arrives late Thursday night into Friday morning. It does not look like a washout, but showers are possible for the first half of Friday, and there may not be a ton of afternoon sunshine.

Dry weather is likely on Saturday before another storm threatens late in the weekend. At least some showers are likely on Sunday as the slow-moving large system moves out of the Mid-Atlantic. In a worst-case scenario, Sunday could be a cool washout. The overall weather pattern looks a bit cool for late June into early July. It also will be unsettled in the Eastern United States, and we’re expecting above normal precipitation in the next couple of weeks. This pattern will bring rain chances every few days, so it may take a little luck for the entire 4th of July weekend to stay dry.

Long-Range Forecast – June 19

/0 Comments/in , /by

The temperature has not gotten close to 90° so far this month in the Providence area. In fact, it has not reached 80° nearly 75% of the time through the 18th. Summer officially arrives Sunday, and with it will come leftover rain from Tropical Storm Bill. Monday will be dry and much warmer, with highs in the 80s. A disturbance moving through on Tuesday could bring another round of showers.

It does not look particularly warm at the end of next workweek. Highs may struggle to reach 80°, which is the normal high in late June. The pattern looks fairly active for early Summer, and another round of rain is possible at the end of next workweek. Of course, in the summer, with warmer air able to hold more moisture, there is the potential for heavy downpours. That’s something we’ll be watching on Sunday and with any system that heads our way next week.

Looking ahead to the last few days of June and early July, there does not seem to be much very warm weather heading for Southeastern New England. Another disturbance with rain or showers may roll through early in the week leading up to the fourth. The early indications are that it could, at least briefly, get very warm to hot just before the 4th of July weekend.

Long-Range Forecast – June 15

/0 Comments/in , /by

It’s hard to believe that we are already more than two weeks into June and the 4th of July is right around the corner. Monday was a setback weather-wise, but we needed the rain in Southeastern New England. It looks like we’ll get back to warmer weather on Tuesday. Overall in the next couple of weeks, the temperature will be hanging within a few degrees of normal for this time of they year. That’s highs in the upper 70s to low 80s away from the coast. There is a chance of some rain from the system that will bring several inches to Texas in the next couple of days. Eventually, late in the weekend or early next week, what’s left of that system could get caught up in the jet stream and bring some showers.

It will be relatively fast-moving pattern in the northern half of the United States, and that means we will not get stuck in any particular weather pattern. Cold fronts will move through every few days bringing the chance of showers/storms and a new airmass from central Canada. It does not look like there is any real big-time heat ahead through the end of June. Check out the video for more.

Long-Range Forecast – June 8

/0 Comments/in , /by

June is off to an unseasonably cool start. There has not yet been a warmer than normal day in the Providence area. Through the first eight days the temperature is running about 7° cooler than normal. After a rainy start, the weather has been mainly dry. Scattered showers are likely on Tuesday, but it does not look like a total washout.

We’ll get back to warm/dry weather from midweek into the weekend. A cold front will threaten with some mid-weekend showers and thunderstorms. It will likely get less humid on Sunday. Fair weather will continue into early next week before showers/storms threaten again late Monday or Tuesday.

The overall pattern does not look too extreme through the next couple of weeks. The normal high temperature reaches 80° in two weeks, and it looks like that’s the ballpark that most days will be in around Father’s Day. There was unseasonable warmth in late-May, and unseasonably cold weather to start June. You can expect the pattern to be closer to normal into late-June.

Rainfall-wise, it does not look like there will be many chances of organized soaking rain in the next 10 days or so. Showers are possible Tuesday, mid-weekend, and early to middle of next week.

2015-06-08-Headlines

Long-Range Forecast – June 2

/0 Comments/in , /by

June is here, but the weather feels more like April! After a wet and very cool start to the month, the sun will return on Wednesday. A northeast to east breeze will keep it on the cool side for early June. Thursday looks decent, but a disturbance moving in from the Atlantic could bring cool showers on Friday.

Looking ahead to the weekend, it will be dry and seasonably cool. Highs and lows will be just a few degrees below the normals (75/55) for this time of the year. A cold front approaching the Northeast on Monday will bring showers sometime between late Monday and early Tuesday. There are some signs that this system may stall over the Northeast, and that would leave it unsettled with scattered showers lingering through the midweek. The early outlook for next weekend is for dry weather, but it does not look like there will be a huge warm-up into the upper 80s or 90s in the next couple of weeks.