Long-Range Forecast – November 25

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There will be a nice warm-up for Thanksgiving and Black Friday. Highs will be in the mid 50s on Thursday and close to 60 on Friday. Scattered showers are possible on Saturday as a cold front passes. The best chance of rain is before 2 pm. It does not look like a widespread soaking.

Cooler weather is ahead for Sunday and Monday. We’re keeping an eye on the cold front after it moves offshore on Saturday. It may linger close enough to the coast to keep thick clouds and a few showers around on Sunday. Monday should be mainly clear.

A storm system arrives with rain on Tuesday. The temperature will spike into the 50s with a southerly wind as the rain develops. Showers will end Wednesday morning, and another cool and dry stretch is likely for the rest of the workweek.

The forecast for the second week of this Long-Range Forecast is quite uncertain. It does not look extremely cold, and the snow threat is minimal. At some point, another storm may move out of the Southern states and bring another round of rain, but the timing of that is unclear. At this point, we are estimating it between Dec 7-9.

Have a safe and Happy Thanksgiving!

 

Long-Range Forecast – November 20

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It will be an unusually quiet weather pattern in the Eastern United States during Thanksgiving week. That’s great news for travelers, and the weather should be nice for Thanksgiving day high school football games throughout New England.

A storm off the East Coast late in the weekend and early next week will not be a big bother. A few showers are possible on Cape Cod and the islands Sunday into Monday. It will bring in some cooler air, and highs will only be in the low to mid 40s with a north-northeast breeze early in the week.

High pressure will settle overhead in the midweek, and Wednesday will be a clear and pleasantly cool day. Highs will be in the mid to upper 40s. It will likely get a bit warmer on Thanksgiving, with highs near 50. Black Friday looks dry and relatively mild. Highs will be well into the 50s.

Looking ahead to next weekend, a weakening cold front may bring rain showers Saturday night into Sunday, but it does not look like a soaking rain. The weekend will begin with mild weather before turning cooler on Sunday.

We are watching the pattern closely during the first few days of December. There are signs that conditions may be ripe for a storm near the New England coast, and at this time of the year precipitation type can be an issue. We’re not saying there’s a snow storm ahead for early December, but there may be a storm that brings some wintry weather our way. Overall, the pattern does not look terribly cold early next month.

 

Long-Range Forecast – November 13

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A quick cold shot this weekend will be replaced by more mild weather through next week. There will be a nice stretch from Sunday afternoon through at least Wednesday. Highs will get close to 60 again by midweek. Lows will be in the 40s, and the average daily temperature should be nearly 10° above normal for a few days.

A storm will crawl through the Eastern United States late next workweek. While potent in the Midwest and Southeast, it may lose some punch as it reaches the Eastern Seaboard. In any event, we’re looking at rain or showers sometime between Thursday and Saturday.

It seems like every year we’re dealing with a storm threat during Thanksgiving week. I do not expect anything different this year. An active southern branch of the jet stream will likely send a storm or two towards the East Coast between the Wednesday before and Saturday after Thanksgiving. It would take a big shift in the current main storm track to bring snow to the Northeast, and we’re leaning toward rain and continued warmer than normal conditions.