Rain is likely Friday night into, at least, Saturday morning as a front moves through New England. The rain may be heavy at times, and thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. It looks like an inch of rain will fall in most spots. We have seen this system coming for a while. As mentioned in recent long-range forecasts, a cut-off area of low pressure will likely develop off the East Coast early next week. If the latest run of the European model is correct, then it will be a miserable stretch in New England from Friday night through the middle of next week.

The Euro keeps steady rain or showers going right through the weekend as the storm develops east of SNE. While not bringing steady rain after Monday, it remains an issue with showers Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. What are the odds of it happening? It’s possible given the pattern, but this is the first Euro run that paints such a bleak picture. The GFS while unsettled is not as nasty on Sunday.